Macroeconomic policy empirical analysis using an unrestricted standard VAR Model the case of Mongolia /

This paper is mainly about key fiscal policy indicators and their interrelations between each other. The model that is used in the analysis is the Vector Autoregressive Model. There are seven variables selected: GDP, Money Supply, Government Revenue, Government Expenditure, Export, Government Debt,...

Teljes leírás

Elmentve itt :
Bibliográfiai részletek
Szerzők: Burentegsh Dorjjugder
Elek Péter
Testületi szerző: The European Union’s contention in the reshaping global economy (2022) (Szeged)
Dokumentumtípus: Könyv része
Megjelent: 2022
Sorozat:Proceedings of the European Union’s Contention in the Reshaping Global Economy
Kulcsszavak:Gazdaságpolitika - Mongólia
Tárgyszavak:
doi:10.14232/eucrge.2022.11

Online Access:http://acta.bibl.u-szeged.hu/75075
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300 |a 189-205 
490 0 |a Proceedings of the European Union’s Contention in the Reshaping Global Economy 
520 3 |a This paper is mainly about key fiscal policy indicators and their interrelations between each other. The model that is used in the analysis is the Vector Autoregressive Model. There are seven variables selected: GDP, Money Supply, Government Revenue, Government Expenditure, Export, Government Debt, and Global Copper Price. Besides VAR estimation, IRFs are computed to define how variables react to certain shocks. The key finding of the research is that both GDP and government revenue are sensitive to copper price changes and the resulting shock. Copper Price is an effective tool to predict these two variables in the shortrun. Government Revenue is an effective tool to impact export in the short-run. Government Debt is not an effective indicator to affect any variables except Government Expenditure. Money Supply is only effective for GDP. Government Expenditure is also not significantly effective in having an impact on other variables, but is weakly affected by Government Revenue, Copper Price, and Export. Most variables considered in the research belong to fiscal policy, thus, effective fiscal policy can be implemented using the results of this paper. 
650 4 |a Társadalomtudományok 
650 4 |a Közgazdasági és gazdálkodástudományok 
695 |a Gazdaságpolitika - Mongólia 
700 0 1 |a Elek Péter  |e aut 
710 |a The European Union’s contention in the reshaping global economy (2022) (Szeged) 
856 4 0 |u http://acta.bibl.u-szeged.hu/75075/1/proceedings_of_the_eucrge_2022_189-205.pdf  |z Dokumentum-elérés