Predicting Thermal Performance of Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage Systems in Depleted Clastic Hydrocarbon Reservoirs via Machine Learning Case Study from Hungary /

This study presents an innovative approach for repurposing depleted clastic hydrocarbon reservoirs in Hungary as High-Temperature Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (HT-ATES) systems, integrating numerical heat transport modeling and machine learning optimization. A detailed hydrogeological model of the...

Teljes leírás

Elmentve itt :
Bibliográfiai részletek
Szerzők: Abdulhaq Hawkar
Geiger János
Vass István
M. Tóth Tivadar
Medgyes Tamás
Bozsó Gábor
Kóbor Balázs
Kun Éva
Szanyi János
Dokumentumtípus: Cikk
Megjelent: 2025
Sorozat:ENERGIES 18 No. 10
Tárgyszavak:
doi:10.3390/en18102642

mtmt:36159591
Online Access:http://publicatio.bibl.u-szeged.hu/37502
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520 3 |a This study presents an innovative approach for repurposing depleted clastic hydrocarbon reservoirs in Hungary as High-Temperature Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage (HT-ATES) systems, integrating numerical heat transport modeling and machine learning optimization. A detailed hydrogeological model of the Békési Formation was built using historical well logs, core analyses, and production data. Heat transport simulations using MODFLOW/MT3DMS revealed optimal dual-well spacing and injection strategies, achieving peak injection temperatures around 94.9 °C and thermal recovery efficiencies ranging from 81.05% initially to 88.82% after multiple operational cycles, reflecting an efficiency improvement of approximately 8.5%. A Random Forest model trained on simulation outputs predicted thermal recovery performance with high accuracy (R2 ≈ 0.87) for candidate wells beyond the original modeling domain, demonstrating computational efficiency gains exceeding 90% compared to conventional simulations. The proposed data-driven methodology significantly accelerates optimal site selection and operational planning, offering substantial economic and environmental benefits and providing a scalable template for similar geothermal energy storage initiatives in other clastic sedimentary basins. 
650 4 |a Föld- és kapcsolódó környezettudományok 
700 0 1 |a Geiger János  |e aut 
700 0 1 |a Vass István  |e aut 
700 0 2 |a M. Tóth Tivadar  |e aut 
700 0 2 |a Medgyes Tamás  |e aut 
700 0 2 |a Bozsó Gábor  |e aut 
700 0 2 |a Kóbor Balázs  |e aut 
700 0 2 |a Kun Éva  |e aut 
700 0 2 |a Szanyi János  |e aut 
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